Can There Be Revolution In Nigeria???

With the recent mass uprising and public mutiny in the Arab world in Africa, which has led to the ouster of Ben Ali and Hosni Mubarak of Tunisia and Egypt respectively, there are speculations and suggestion of the Arab-styled uprising in Nigeria. when one takes a look at the ills in the Nigeria brought about by the insincerity and dishonesty of leaders from the Wards, LGAs, up to the Villa, one cannot help but wish for a revolution, the like of Libya. However, when I pause and ponder on the geopolitical maze of Nigeria, taking into consideration the very rich diversity that make our coming together seem almost impossible at first sight, I beg to totally digress. I am of the view that revolution, no matter the kind, cannot happen in Nigeria. Before you start criticizing me, I plead with you to come along with me as we attempt to take a spectroscopic flight of analysis into the geopolitical contraption of a state called Nigeria.

For starters, what is a revolution? According to the encyclopedia Britannica, "A revolution constitutes a challenge to the established political order and the eventual establishment of a new order radically different from the preceding one."


Ingredients of a revolution 
1. Long term Oppression
2. Flagrant Human Rights Abuse
3. Economic Inequalities
4. Wanton Political Imprisonment
5. Brutality & Torture with Impunity
6. Religious Resentment & Fervour
7. Large Scale Nepotism
8. Army of redcoats 
9. Army of patriots
10. Overtly Greedy Leader with a sit-tight syndrome
11. brave leader of uprising who is ready to die for the cause
12. High tax regime
13. Extreme Poverty
14. A wish for freedom
15. One declaration
 If the above mentioned fifteen point maze can be confidently and conveniently navigated without any qualms in Nigeria, then the country can be said to be over-ripe for a revolution, a grandeur revolution. But i can hardly say that, or can you. Lets attempt to take on the ingredients one after the other. 

1. If you check the previous revolutions in History and the ones currently going on the the North African enclave, you will see that the masses have been oppressed for a very long time, decades, but that is not the case with Nigeria. No political or military leader in Nigeria has ever stayed in power for up to ten years at any one time. Yakubu Gowon, the longest serving military despot, ruled for nine (9) years and was pushed aside by yet another military junta. That shows the impatience of Nigerians when it comes to leadership and continuity.
2. It would be healthy if one suffices that there exists human rights abuses in Nigeria in the times past; however, with the advent of democracy in Nigeria, the rights of the citizenry have been really enhanced and upheld to a large extent. Just recently, the House of Representatives of the Nigerian National Assembly passed the Freedom of Information Bill into Law, awaiting the confirmation of the Senate and assent of the Executive. This is a mighty step towards a complete democratization. You will agree with me that, Nigerians can now express their rights freely and more than they could as compared to some 12yrs back. That is progress that puts the country further away from revolution.

3. Economic Inequalities is a popular index in the whole of Africa and the world at large. We thank God for the Nigerian Economic system that is subsisting majorly on oil. The periodic allocation to states and local govt, which is based on a revenue allocation mathematics is sustainable even though it could be improved upon to take care of the cries of resource control and percentage derivation. In all, economic inequality is an index that could be bridged but certainly cannot be equated due to diversities in the nature and scope of states in Nigeria.

4. Wanton Political Imprisonment is certainly a thing of the past in Nigeria. That is a characteristic of Military Regime. We are over that one now.

5. Brutality and Torture with impunity? Hmmm... I assure you we are done and dusted with that.

6. Religious resentment and fervour is certainly not in the official character of Nigeria. Religion takes the front burner whenever there is an issue of national discuss in order not to step on the religiously sensitive toes of Nigerians. Why is there always a mix in the leadership composition of Nigeria as regards religion? It is because as Nigerians, we value our religions a lot. Even during the military, there is always a combination of a Christian and a Muslim in Aso Rock. So as you can see religious resentment in not in our NATIONAL character.

7. With the Federal Character Commission in place and the practice of quota system, nepotism which is a part and parcel of the Nigerian political mix, is often whittled down when discovered.

8. Army of redcoat is non-existent in Nigeria.

9. Patriotism? Hmmm... We agree to be compatriots even in our National Anthem. However, does the spirit of patriotism enshrined in our constitution share the same push as rebellion? Your guess is as good as mine.

10. Sit-Tight Syndrome? We would not allow it in Nigeria. Some one was once rumoured to be seeking a third term in power and what eventually happened is now history. Perpetuation of self in government for too long is not a practice in Nigeria. The longest that Nigerians have ever endured is nine years (Gowon). 

11. For Naija, everybody want to go to heaven but, nobody want to die!

12. Nigeria has a very good tax regime. Why did i say so? Because we don't pay tax in Nigeria! So, considering the almost non-existent tax regime as a yardstick for revolution is laughable.

13. Poverty is a recurring index in Nigeria. However, extreme poverty is not the case when you look at the GDP, GNP, and the per capita income. 

14. The wish of people incertain quarters in Nigeria has always been that of secession, and not revolution because the ingredients are just not there.

15. If we have already declare that we are ONE NIGERIA, with one voice, one common front, and one attitude, what other declaration are we suggesting?      

Worse Case Senario For Nigeria?
Disintegration. Pure and Simple. 

If you think otherwise about my opinion above, please feel free to disagree by commenting below. Thanks.

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